Strategy and forecasts
for 2024-2026
Short-term global uncertainties have forced electricity
companies to increase their flexibility and improve the vis-
ibility and predictability of prospective returns.
In this context, over the 2024-2026 Plan period the Enel
Group plans to focus on:
•
profitability, flexibility and resilience through selective
capital allocation aimed at optimizing the Group’s risk/
return profile;
•
efficiency and effectiveness as drivers of the Group’s
operations, based on process simplification, a leaner
organization with defined responsibilities and a focus
on core geographies in which the Group has an inte-
grated position (Italy, Spain, Brazil, Chile, Colombia and
the United States), as well as boosting operational effi-
ciency in order to maximize cash generation and offset
inflationary pressures and the higher cost of capital;
•
financial and environmental sustainability to pursue val-
ue creation with a balance and solid financial structure,
addressing the challenges of climate change.
In this scenario, regulated businesses will be at the center
of the Group’s strategy, with a concentration of invest-
ment in geographical areas with a clear and predictable
regulatory framework as well as stable macroeconomic
environments. Investment decisions on renewables will
be more selective, seeking to achieve a positioning that
maximizes returns and mitigates risks at the same time.
Finally, the Group plans to optimize its customer portfolio
and end-to-end processes, enhancing efficiency in cus-
tomer acquisition and management, improving customer
loyalty through bundled offers and promoting the electri-
fication of energy consumption. The generation and retail
businesses will be managed in a more integrated manner,
with a flexible approach to sourcing strategies in order to
maximize profitability along the entire value chain.
In the 2024-2026 period, the Group’s gross investments
will amount to €35.8 billion, of which €18.6 billion will be
allocated to Grids, €12.1 billion to Renewables and €3 bil-
lion to Customers.
Thanks to the implementation of a less capital- and
risk-intensive business model, investments will have a
smaller cash requirement, with expected net investments
of about €26.2 billion thanks to access to European grants
and financing (up to €3.5 billion) and the use of a diversi-
fied co-investment model for renewables projects (a total
of about €6.1 billion).
Investments in distribution grids will increase their ef-
(3) Capacity of the system to carry additional power.
(4) Upgrading a plant in order to increase efficiency, capacity and output.
ficiency, flexibility and resilience: more than half will be
allocated to grid strengthening, remote operation, auto-
mation and digitalization projects in order to deliver high
standards of service quality and reduce power losses. In
addition to managing assets, the remainder will be allo-
cated to expanding hosting capacity
(3)
to meet customer
demand for new connections and encourage the integra-
tion of distributed generation from renewable resources,
all to support the energy transition and the electrification
of final energy consumption.
Investments in renewables will add 13.4 GW of new capac-
ity, bringing the Group’s total to 73 GW (including energy
storage systems) by 2026, with the share of zero-emis-
sions generation growing from 75% to about 86%.
The push for innovation will continue to be a strategic
driver: in generation, it will improve plant performance
through the introduction of new technologies along the
entire value chain. The use of repowering
(4)
and automa-
tion is also expected to increase the efficiency of plants
and processes, as will testing of new battery technologies
and energy storage systems, whose role will be increas-
ingly important in ensuring the flexibility of electrical sys-
tems. In grids, digitalization, new automation models and
the introduction of new technologies will enable new ap-
proaches to remuneration.
Finally, the Group will continue to pursue the evolution of
new technologies that will mature over the medium and
long term, such as hydrogen and new small and modular
nuclear fission reactors or fusion power.
On the environmental sustainability front, the Group in-
tends to continue reducing its direct and indirect green-
house gas emissions by achieving the zero-emissions tar-
get for all Scopes by 2040, in line with the Paris Agreement
and with the 1.5 ºC scenario, as certified by the SBTi.
Group ordinary EBITDA is expected to increase to between
€23.6 and 24.3 billion in 2026, with a CAGR (Compound
Average Growth Rate) of approximately 5%, while our am-
bition for Group ordinary profit is a rise to between €7.1
and 7.3 billion in 2026, with a CAGR of about 6% compared
with 2023, net of differences in scope.
The organic and structural path of reducing the Group’s
net debt will enable us to achieve a ratio of net debt to
EBITDA of about 2.3 by 2026, down from over 3 at the end
of 2022.
Finally, as regards shareholder remuneration, the Group
has decided to adopt a simple and attractive dividend
policy with a minimum fixed DPS (dividend per share) of
€0.43 for the 2024-2026 period, with a potential increase
up to a payout of 70% of ordinary profit if cash neutrality
is achieved.
7Letter to shareholders and other stakeholders